Figure 4 Climate Prediction Center – North American Multi-Model Ensemble temperature forecast for February 2027. November 2026 model run. Shown is the forecasted temperature anomaly relative to the 1991 to 2020 thirty-year average.

Figure 5 Climate Prediction Center – North American Multi-Model Ensemble precipitation forecast for November 2026. October 2026 model run. Shown is the forecasted precipitation anomaly relative to the 1991 to 2020 thirty-year average.

            National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Climate Prediction Center produces long-range generalized climate forecasts based on the average of seven different General Circulation Model simulations. These forecasts are released on the 8th day of every month with predictions of temperature and precipitation patterns over North America for the next seven months. The correctness of these forecasts becomes less with lead time. For this reason only three months are shown. The skill of these forecasts are better for temperature compared to precipitation, and are particularly good for temperature during winter and spring when El Niño or La Niña events are occurring.  Finally, these forecasts are generally poor during neutral ENSO years (El Niño or La Niña are not occurring).

            The predictions for each month describe the anomaly from the 1991 to 2020 average. Prediction maps for temperature and precipitation for the next 3 months are shown below. Also shown is the forecast for the current month from the previous model run release.

Temperature Forecast 

            For November, the long-range forecast suggests temperatures will be about 1 to 2°C warmer than normal in British Columbia and Alberta, according to NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center. 

            Most of British Columbia is forecast to be about 2 to 3°C warmer than normal in December. Coastal southern British Columbia and southwestern Alberta will be about 1 to 2°C warmer than normal. January is predicted to be about 1 to 2°C warmer than normal for all of British Columbia, while southwestern Alberta will be about 0.5 to 1°C warmer than normal. In February, most of British Columbia and southwestern Alberta is forecast to be about 2 to 3°C warmer than normal.

Precipitation Forecast

            For November, NOAA's Climate Prediction Center forecasts below-normal precipitation across most of British Columbia and western Alberta. One exception is Vancouver Island, which could see above-normal precipitation.

            In December, a below-normal precipitation pattern will remain in eastern British Columbia and western Alberta. Coastal southern British Columbia will see above-normal precipitation, while interior British Columbia will see normal levels of precipitation in December. 

            In January, Vancouver Island will see above-normal precipitation. Coastal and interior southern British Columbia will see normal precipitation. Further east, eastern British Columbia and western Alberta are expected to see below-normal precipitation.

            In February, a below-normal precipitation pattern will remain in eastern British Columbia and western Alberta. Coastal southern British Columbia will see above-normal precipitation, while interior British Columbia will see near-normal levels of precipitation. 

Figure 2 Climate Prediction Center – North American Multi-Model Ensemble temperature forecast for December 2026. November 2026 model run. Shown is the forecasted temperature anomaly relative to the 1991 to 2020 thirty-year average.

Figure 6 Climate Prediction Center – North American Multi-Model Ensemble precipitation forecast for December 2026. November 2026 model run. Shown is the forecasted precipitation anomaly relative to the 1991 to 2020 thirty-year average.

Figure 7 Climate Prediction Center – North American Multi-Model Ensemble precipitation forecast for January 2027. November 2026 model run. Shown is the forecasted precipitation anomaly relative to the 1991 to 2020 thirty-year average.

Figure 8 Climate Prediction Center – North American Multi-Model Ensemble precipitation forecast for February 2027. November 2026 model run. Shown is the forecasted precipitation anomaly relative to the 1991 to 2020 thirty-year average.

Figure 1 Climate Prediction Center – North American Multi-Model Ensemble temperature forecast for November 2026. October 2026 model run. Shown is the forecasted temperature anomaly relative to the 1991 to 2020 thirty-year average.

Figure 3 Climate Prediction Center – North American Multi-Model Ensemble temperature forecast for January 2027. November 2026 model run. Shown is the forecasted temperature anomaly relative to the 1991 to 2020 thirty-year average.